Grupos de investigación
Variabilidad y cambio climático y sus impactos en escala local y regional – CLIPS –
Análisis de los cambios observados y desarrollo de escenarios climáticos futuros en el sur de Sudamérica para la identificación de impactos y evaluación de riesgos de diferentes sectores frente al cambio climático.
Caracterización de la variabilidad hidroclimática del sur de Sudamérica, y su respuesta a diferentes forzantes climáticos locales, regionales, y globales.
integrantes
Investigador responsable: Inés Camilloni, Ramiro Saurral
Miembros: Inés Camilloni; María Belén Choquehuanca Linares; Carla N. Gulizia; Malena Sol Lozada Montanari ; Ana Belén Sánchez Schutze; Ramiro Saurral
NOVEDADES
PROYECTOS
| Año | Nombre del proyecto | Resumen |
|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Cambio climático e impactos hidrológicos en el centro-este de Argentina. | [Ver PDF] |
| 2018 | Desarrollo de escenarios climáticos futuros y su utilización en la generación de escenarios hidrológicos en el centro-este de Argentina. | [Ver PDF] |
| 2018 | Hydrological impacts of solar radiation management in La Plata Basin in South America. | [Ver PDF] |
| 2014 | Desarrollo de escenarios hidroclimáticos futuros para el sur de Sudamérica en el contexto de cambio climático. | |
| 2011 | Impactos hidrológicos del cambio climático en la cuenca del Plata e incertidumbres asociadas a los modelos climáticos globales. | [Ver PDF] |
| 2009 | Proyecciones climáticas: errores y reducción de incertidumbres. | [Ver PDF] |
| 2008 | Algunos impactos potenciales del cambio climático en Argentina. | [Ver PDF] |
PUBLICACIONES
- Alonso, G.; Simionato, C.G.; Dinápoli, M.; Saurral, R.; Bodnariuk, N. (2024). Positive Storm Surges in the Río de la Plata Estuary: forcings, long-term variability, trends and linkage with Southwestern Atlantic Continental Shelf dynamics. Natural Hazards, Vol. 124 [Ver]
- Dinápoli, M.; Simionato, C.G.; Alonso, G.; Bodnariuk, N.; Saurral, N. (2024). Negative storm surges in the Río de la Plata Estuary: mechanisms, variability, trends and linkage with the Continental Shelf dynamics. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, Vol. 305 [Ver]
- Gulizia, C.; Camilloni, I. (2023). Relationship between rainfall and streamflow in the La Plata Basin: annual cycles, interdecadal and multidecadal variability. Atmósfera, Vol. 36 [Ver]
- Camilloni, I.; Montroull, N.; Gulizia, C.a; Saurral, R. (2022). La Plata Basin Hydroclimate Response to Solar Radiation Modification with Stratospheric Aerosol Injection. Frontier in Climate, Vol. 4 [Ver]
- Gulizia, C.; Pirotte, M. (2022). Characterization of simulated extreme El Niño events and projected impacts on South American climate extremes by a set of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 global climate models. International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 42 [Ver]
- Gulizia, C.; Raggio, G.; Camilloni, I.; Saurral, R. (2022). Changes in mean and extreme climate in southern South America under global warming of 1.5°C, 2°C and 3°C. Theoretical and Applied Climatology., Vol. 150 [Ver]
- Lozada, M.; Camilloni, I. (2022). Variabilidad espacio-temporal de la isla de calor superficial en tres ciudades argentinas. Meteorológica, Vol. 47 [Ver]
- Díaz, L.; Saurral, R.; Vera, C. (2021). Assessment of South America Summer Rainfall Climatology and Trends in a Set of Global Climate Models Large Ensembles. International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 41 [Ver]
- Gulizia, C.; Camilloni, I. (2021). Relationship between rainfall and streamflow in the La Plata Basin: annual cycles, interdecadal and multidecadty. Atmósfera [Ver]
- Pineda Rojas, A.L.; Cordo, S.M.; Saurral, R.I.; Jimenez, J.L.; Marr, L.C.; Kropff, E. (2021). Relative Humidity Predicts Day-to-Day Variations in COVID-19 Cases in the City of Buenos Aires. Environmental Science & Technology, Vol. 55 [Ver]
- Piscitelli, F.; Sarrual, R. (2021). The total solar eclipse of December 14, 2020 in southern South America and its effects on atmospheric variables. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 147 [Ver]
- Raggio, G.; Saurral, R. (2021). Probable intensificación de las condiciones de déficit hídrico sobre la región del Comahue ante diversos escenarios de Cambio Climático. Meteorológica, Vol. 46 [Ver]
- Saurral, R.; Merryfield, W.J.; Tolstykh, M.A.; Lee, W.-S.; Doblas-Reyes, F.J.; García-Serrano, J.; Massonnet, F.; Meehl, G.A.; Teng, H. (2021). A Data Set for Intercomparing the Transient Behavior of Dynamical Model-Based Subseasonal to Decadal Climate Predictions. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Vol. 13 [Ver]
- Díaz, L. B.; Saurral, R. I. ; Vera, C.S. (2020). Assessment of South America summer rainfall climatology and trends in a set of global climate models large ensembles. International Journal of Climatology [Ver]
- Gulizia, C.; Langendijk,G.S.; Huang-Lachmann, J.T.; de Amorim Borges,P.; Flach, R.; Githaiga, C.; Rahimi ,M . (2020). Towards a more integrated role for early career researchers in the IPCC process. Climatic Change [Ver]
- Pineda Rojas, A.L.; Borge, R.; Mazzeo, N.A.; Saurral, R.I.; Matarazzo, B.N.; Cordero, J.M.; Kropff, E. (2020). High PM10 concentrations in the city of Buenos Aires and their relationship with meteorological conditions. Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 214 [Ver]
- Saurral, R.; Raggio, G.; Gulizia, C. (2020). How could a difference of 0.5°C in global warming modify the mean and extreme climate conditions around Antarctica?. International Journal of Climatology [Ver]
- Saurral, R.I.; García-Serrano, J.; Doblas-Reyes, F.J.; Díaz, L.B.; Vera, C.S. (2020). Decadal predictability and prediction skill of sea surface temperatures in the South Pacific region. Climate Dynamics [Ver]
- Hoegh-Guldberg, O.; Jacob, D.; Taylor, M.; Guillén Bolaños, I.; Bindi, M.; Brown, S.; Camilloni, I.; Diedhiou, A.; Djalante, R.; Ebi, K.; Engelbrecht, F.; Guiot, J.; Hijioka, Y.; Mehrotra, S.; Hope, C.W.; Payne, A.J.; Pörtner, H-O.; Seneviratne, S.I.; Thomas, A.; Warren, R.; Zhou, G (2019). The human imperative of stabilizing global climate change at 1.5°C. Sciences, Vol. 365 [Ver]
- Langendijk, G.S.; Aubry-Wake, C.; Osman, M.; Gulizia, C.; Attig-Bahar, F.; Behrens, E.; Bertoncini, A.; Hart, N.; Indasi, V.S.; Innocenti, S.; van der Linden, E.C.; Mamnun, N.; Rasouli, K.; Reed, K.A.; Ridder, N.; Rivera, J.; Ruscica, R.;Ukazu, B.U.; Walawender, J.P.; Walker, D.P.;Woodhams, B.J.; Yılmaz, Y.A. (2019). Three Ways Forward to Improve Regional Information for Extreme Events. Frontiers in Environmental Science [Ver]
- Saurral, R.; Kucharski, F.; Raggio, G. (2019). Variations in ozone and greenhouse gases as drivers of Southern Hemisphere climate in a medium‑complexity global climate model. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 53 [Ver]
- Saurral, R.; Ruiz, J. (2019). Revisitando la irrupción de aire frío extrema de junio de 1967 en el centro de Argentina, cincuenta años después. Meteorológica, Vol. 44 [Ver]
- Vera, C.S.; Díaz, L.B. ; Saurral, R.I. (2019). Influence of Anthropogenically-Forced Global Warming and Natural Climate Variability in the Rainfall Changes Observed Over the South American Altiplano. Frontiers in Environmental Science [Ver]
- Barros, V.; Doyle, M. (2018). Low level circulation and precipitation simulated by CMIP5 GCMs over the south of southestern South America.. International Journal of Climatology [Ver]
- Lanfranchi, G.; Herrero, A.C.; Rueda Palenzuela, S.; Camilloni, I.; Bauer, S. (2018). The new urban paradigm. Kiel Institute for the World Economy. , Vol. No2018-70 [Ver]
- Montroull, N.; Saurral, R.; Camilloni, I. (2018). Hydrological impacts in La Plata basin under 1.5°, 2° and 3°C global warming above the pre-industrial level. International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 38 [Ver]
- Saurral, R.; Doblas-Reyes, F.; García-Serrano, J. (2018). Observed modes of sea surface temperature variability in the South Pacific region. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 50 [Ver]
- Nadal, G.; Girardin, O.; Losano, F.; Marta Marizza, Cello, P.; Bucciarelli, L.; Forni, L.; Camilloni, I.; Bravo, G.; Lallana, F.; Di Sbroiavacca, N. (2017). La de los recursos hídricos en el contexto del cambio climático. Una aplicación a la región del Comahue, Patagonia planificación del manejo, Argentina. Aqua-LAc, Vol. 9 [Ver]
- Saurral, R.; Camilloni, I.; Barros, V. (2017). Low frequency variability and trends in centennial precipitation stations in southern South America . International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 36 [Ver]
- Tompkins, A.M.; Ortiz De Zárate, M.I.; Saurral, R.I.; Vera, C.; Saulo, C.; Merryfield, W.J.; Sigmond, M.; Lee, W.; Baehr, J.; Braun, A.; Butler, A.; Déqué, M.; Doblas-Reyes, F.J.; Gordon, M.; Scaife, A.A.; Imada, Y.; Ishii, M.; Ose, T.; Kirtman, B.; Kumar, A.; Müller, W.A.; Pirani, A.; Stockdale, T.; Rixen, M.; Yasuda, T. (2017). The Climate-System Historical Forecast Project: Providing Open Access to Seasonal Forecast Ensembles from Centers around the Globe. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS), Vol. 98 [Ver]
- Gulizia, C.; Camilloni, I. (2016). A spatio-temporal comparative study of the representation of precipitation over South America derived by three gridded data sets. International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 36 [Ver]
- Saurral, R. (2016). A cautionary note on the computation of daily mean temperatures and their trends. International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 37 (9) [Ver]
- Barros, V.; Boninsegna, J.; Camilloni, I.; Chidiak, M.; Magrin, G.; Rusticucci, M. (2015). Climate change in Argentina: trends, projections, impacts and adaptation. WIREs Climate Change. WIREs Climate Change , Vol. 6 [Ver]
- Bellprat, O.; Lott, F.C.,; Gulizia, C.; Parker, H.R.; Pampuch, L.A.; Pinto, I.; Ciavarella, A.; Stott, P.A. (2015). Unusual past dry and wet rainy seasons over Southern Africa and South America from a climate perspective. Monthly Weather Review, Vol. (9) [Ver]
- Gulizia, C.; Camilloni, I. (2015). Comparative analysis of the ability of a set of CMIP3 and CMIP5 global climate models to represent the precipitation in South America . International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 35 [Ver]
- Saurral, R.I.; Camilloni, I.A.; Ambrizzi, T. (2015). Links between topography, moisture fluxes pathways and precipitation over South America. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 45 (3-4) [Ver]
- Saurral, R.; Barros, V.; Camilloni, I. (2014). Sea ice concentration variability over the Southern Ocean and its impact on precipitation in southeastern South America. . Journal of Climate , Vol. 34 [Ver]
- Camilloni, I.; Saurral, R.; Montroull, N. (2013). Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios. International Journal of River Basin Management [Ver]
- Díaz, A.; Maciel, F.; Saurral, R. (2013). Multi-annual variability of streamflow in La Plata Basin. Part II: Simulations for the 21st century . International Journal of River Basin Management [Ver]
- Garavaglia, C.; Doyle, M.; Barros, V. (2013). Statistical Relationship Between Atmospheric Circulation and Extreme Precipitation in La Plata Basin. . Meteorological Applications [Ver]
- Grimson, R.; Montroull, N.; Saurral, R.; Vásquez, P.; Camilloni, I. (2013). Hydrological modeling of the Iberá Wetlands in southeastern South America. Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 503 [Ver]
- Guerrero, M.; Nones, M.; Saurral, R.; Montroull, N.; Szupiany, R. (2013). Paraná River morphodynamics in the context of climate change. International Journal of River Basin Management [Ver]
- Gulizia, C.; Camilloni, I.; Doyle ,M. (2013). Identification of the principal patterns of summer moisture transport in South America and their representation by WCRP/CMIP3 global climate models. models. Theoretical and Applied Climatology., Vol. 112(1) [Ver]
- Montroull, N.; Saurral, R.; Camilloni, I.; Grimson, R.; Vásquez, P. (2013). Assessment of climate change on the future water levels of the Iberá wetlands, Argentina, during the 21st century. International Journal of River Basin Management [Ver]
- Montroull, N.; Saurral, R.; Camilloni, I.; Sörensson, A.; Menéndez, C.; Ruscica, R. (2013). Escenarios hidrológicos futuros en la región de los esteros del Iberá en el contexto del cambio climático. Meteorológica, Vol. 38 [Ver]
- Saurral, R.; Montroull, N.; Camilloni, I. (2013). Development of statistically unbiased 21st century hydrology scenarios over La Plata Basin. International Journal of River Basin Management [Ver]
- Camilloni, I.; Barrucand, M. (2012). Temporal variability of the Buenos Aires, Argentina, urban heat island.. Theoretical and Applied Climatology., Vol. 107 [Ver]
- Doyle, M.; Saurral, R.; Barros, V. (2012). Trends in the distribution of aggregated monthly precipitation over the Plata Basin. . International Journal of Climatology, Vol. Vol. 32 [Ver]
- Mezher, R.; Doyle, M. Barros, V. (2012). Climatology of hail in Argentina. Atmospheric Research, Vol. 114-115 [Ver]
- Doyle, M.E.; Barros, V.R. (2011). Attribution of the river flow growth in the Plata Basin. International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 31 [Ver]
- Saurral, R. (2010). The hydrologic cycle of the La Plata Basin in the WCRP-CMIP3 multi-model dataset. Journal of Hydrometeorology, Vol. 5, 1083-1102 [Ver]